Free Photo Think back to ancient leaders who looked to the stars or the flight patterns of birds just to predict the future.

“Flexible risk models are crucial for effective intellectual property management, offering tools to navigate the trade secret landscape.” Being able to quantify risk probabilities for a trade secret ...

Austrian economists have long criticized using mathematics to undergird economic analysis. It is time to apply that same ...

This paper addresses the building of obligor-level hazard rate corporate probability of default models for stress testing, departing from the predominant practice in wholesale credit modeling of ...

Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn to assess risk and potential gains.

Whenever I update The Capital Spectator Economic Trend Index (CS-ETI), as I did last week, someone usually asks how to interpret the data. In particular, how should we translate CS-ETI’s raw numbers ...