The past has shown that nontraditional measures like brothels, beer and lipstick can tell us a lot about the economy’s health ...

Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...

Polymarket and Kalshi traders' perceived probability of a recession this year has plunged recently. Both prediction markets surged in popularity after users called Trump's election win in November.

Looming fears of a recession have subsided in recent months. With the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates and GDP continuing to grow, Americans’ economic anxieties have cooled. But one economist ...

Previously, financial firms relied on intuition that had been honed over years of exposure to the market. Today, many have ...

An ominous measure that the Federal Reserve considers a near surefire recession signal again has reared its head in the bond market. Stream San Diego News for free, 24/7, wherever you are with NBC 7.